August 2015 Analysis

Currency Forecast - TWD: Near-Term Weakness; Long-Term Stability - AUG 2015

Despite its strong fundamentals, the TWD is facing downside pressure from the ongoing weakness in competitors' currencies. As such, we see continued weakness in the near term towards TWD32.00/USD. Over the long-term, an undervalued real effective exchange rate, low inflation, and a large current account surplus will lend support to the currency, limiting weakness and providing stability.